Canada’s housing crisis is far more severe than many people realize, and there are twenty-two solutions that could end it, once and for all. Shortest Executive Summary ever.
The PDF of this paper is here, for free downloading: canadas-housing-crisis-guy-dauncey
What is Happening?
What on Earth is happening? The explosion of housing prices in Vancouver and Victoria is crazy, but the same thing is happening in many cities around the world, not just the big ones like Toronto, London, Berlin, Paris, Stockholm, New York, San Francisco and Mumbai but also smaller communities like Kelowna, and Nashville, Tennessee. In Australia, in 2014, house prices rose by a whopping 121%.[i]
There are signs that the crisis is endemic across the developed world, which makes it likely there’s a common cause.[ii] But what is it? That’s the mystery. We await some genius to write the definitive analysis, the way the French economist Thomas Piketty did for income inequality in his book Capital in the Twenty-First Century.[iii]
During 2015, single family house-prices in Vancouver rose by 37%. In Tsawwassen they rose by 41%; in Richmond by 36.5%. In June 2016, a very unremarkable 2,400 square foot 4-bedroom bungalow with a basement on West 29th Ave in Vancouver was on the market for $5.5 million.[iv] The bubble is now beginning to burst, but by nowhere far enough to make a difference.
The housing crisis is far more serious than most people realize, and it calls for far-reaching solutions similar in scope to the way Canada’s healthcare crisis was solved in the 1960s by publicly funded universal healthcare.
Thirty years ago, if you had a reasonable income, the gap between renting and owning was bridgeable. Today, in many parts of Canada, it is not. In 1976, it took 5 years to save enough for a 20% deposit on a mortgage.[v] Today, it takes 16 years for a British Columbian to do the same—23 years in Vancouver. This poses a huge danger to the fabric of Canadian society.[vi]
Over the past 15 years, the average Vancouver household’s income has grown by just 10.75%, while the cost of housing has grown by 172% (inflation adjusted). Over the same period, Toronto’s housing prices grew 188% while the median income grew by just 0.38%.[vii]
A Miserable Cascade of Suffering
For here’s the thing—a third of Canadians don’t own property, and nor do their parents, so they will never inherit. Unless they win the lottery or start some genius new business they will be forced to rent for life, constantly on edge, part of the permanent minority of renters, feeding money to property owners on the other side of the divide for as long as they live.
The high rents and real estate prices are also driving young families out of the city, resulting in school closures that are disruptive for the remaining families, and tiresome commutes, cutting into the time parents have with their children. They also increase the pressures on the more vulnerable, who resort to couch surfing or living in their parents’ basements, and the super-vulnerable, who are living in the bushes and on the streets, including seniors, veterans, First Nations men and women, and families with children. It’s a miserable cascade of suffering.
What does it do to a country when a third of its people are unable to own a home? Renters feel more disenfranchised. They vote less, and their needs rarely receive attention in Canada’s legislatures, maybe because most politicians live on the property-owning side of the divide. On one side of the divide you borrow money to buy property. On the other, you pay rent to property owners. The money flows one way, all the time, constantly increasing the gap between the two sides.
With fewer Canadians able to buy, the rental vacancy rates in Victoria and Vancouver are approaching zero, prompting higher rents, bidding wars by desperate families, couch-surfing, millennials living in their parents’ homes, and homelessness.[viii] 40% of Canadians who rent spend more than 30% of their household income on rent and utilities, the level deemed affordable. 20% spend more than half their income, often having to choose between paying the rent and feeding the family.[ix]
In Britain, where sovereign wealth funds invested $26 billion in UK property in 2014, young families have been shut out of rental affordability in two-thirds of the country.[x] In America, a $15 to $25 hourly wage is needed in many states to afford a rental unit.[xi] In Vancouver, you need an annual family income of $152,000 to buy a house.
What are the Fundamental Causes?
So what is behind it all? I am not a housing economist, but there seem to be eight possible contributing causes:
- The failure of successive governments, federally and provincially, to address the growing crisis of poverty and income inequality.
- The failure of successive governments to invest in affordable housing, deferring to private property developers and the market.
- The trend towards the commodification of housing, allowing wealthy people and investment funds to treat housing as an investment commodity.
- Since the 1980s, and especially since 2008, a faster increase in the creation of money by the banks than the growth in GDP needed to absorb it, feeding inflation and the financialization of non-productive commodities such as housing.
- The choice by Canadians with higher disposable incomes to invest their inheritances in housing, thereby inflating prices.
- The ability of wealthy non-Canadians to buy property in Canada with few restrictions, further inflating prices.
- The failure of governments to end tax evasion, or to regulate against the purchase of land as a commodity for tax-evasion purposes.
- The failure of affordable housing advocates to mobilize those who are suffering from the housing crisis, and to help them organize into a visible and noisy political force.
In Capital in the Twenty-First Century Thomas Piketty showed why, lacking government intervention, inequality in our modern societies will continue to increase. As long as the rate of return on capital is higher than the rate of growth of the economy, he demonstrated, unless there are policies to correct the imbalance, inherited and stored wealth will grow faster than earned wealth, constantly increasing the level of inequality.
Among the relatively well-off there are many who enjoy good salaries, generous annual bonuses and good pensions. As well as buying homes for themselves they invest some of their wealth in property, including second homes and investment properties. If ten people with similar incomes compete to buy a house, the value of the house won’t shift much. But if three can pay a lot more than the other seven, they will push the price out of reach of the seven.
Two-thirds of Canadians have parents who own property, and death being what it is, sooner or later they will inherit without needing to pay inheritance taxes, paying capital gains tax only on half the value of any secondary residence. Over the next decade, CIBC reports that the boomer generation aged between 50 and 75 will inherit $750 billion, massively increasing their disposable income, much of which will flow into the property market, inflating prices.[xii] As any economist will explain, if you increase the flow of money into the market for something without increasing the supply, the price will rise. Some developers argue that the solution is simply to build more housing, but with the housing crisis being a global condition, it’s a lot more complicated than that.
All this is aided by the way we allow banks to create new credit at the click of a mouse, and then sell the money at interest, limited only by their fractional reserve lending base. The more they lend, the more profit they earn for their shareholders through the interest charged. This is a blessing, since it enables people to buy homes and build businesses, but it’s also a curse, since it increases the social divide, and when it fuels a bubble it can destabilize the entire economy, leaving the public to bail out the banks, as happened in various countries in 2008.
For many years now, investors have been treating housing as a speculative commodity – buy for $1 million, sell for $1.2 million in a few month’s time = 20% ROI. They have been riding the wave of housing price inflation, feeding the inflation to their benefit, but to the loss of everyone who needs to rent or buy an affordable home.
Into this growing pool of money we can add the flow of foreign money, which in BC is chiefly from China. China has more than a million millionaires, many of whom reportedly want to live somewhere less polluted.[xiii] China’s wobbly stock exchange caused many to seek better returns overseas, and the weak Canadian dollar combined with the Chinese yuan’s devaluation has driven many to Canada, encouraged by Vancouver realtors who market specifically to them.[xiv] If you live in one of China’s torrid, noisy, polluted cities, Vancouver’s lyrically leafy streets must seem like paradise.
As Bill Tieleman wrote in The Tyee, the National Bank of Canada has estimated that Chinese buyers spent $12.7 billion in Vancouver in 2015, accounting for about one-third of all sales, part of an estimated US$1 trillion that left China in the last 18 months seeking safe investments.[xv]
To the mix of suspects we must also add the global failure of governments to regulate and abolish the tax havens, both offshore in places such as Barbados and the Cayman Islands, and within countries such as the US, Switzerland and Lichtenstein. This parasitic cancer on the global economy allows tax-evading millionaires to use shell companies to launder their money through property. When you enter ‘Vancouver’ in the Panama Papers search engine, Greater Vancouver shows fifteen times more listed addresses per population than Edmonton, indicating tax-evading shell companies where the beneficial owners are hiding their names.[xvi]
And to add grit to the wound, AirBNBs are eating into rental availability, since property-owners can generate more income from short-term rentals than from secure long-term rentals without having to bother with the Residential Tenancy Act. In Vancouver 67% of the listed AirBNBs—3,179 units—are full apartments or houses that might otherwise be in the permanent rental pool. In Tofino, people are sleeping in the woods because rental units have been converted to AirBNBs.[xvii]
What Is To Be Done?
#1: Develop a Comprehensive Housing Strategy
The solutions begin with a comprehensive federal/provincial housing strategy that will end the crisis once and for all, and ensure that every Canadian has guaranteed access to a clean, safe, secure, sustainable, affordable home. We need to approach the housing crisis with the same level of ambition that Tommy Douglas approached the healthcare crisis in Saskatchewan in the 1950s—as an emergency that needed a big picture, radical solution, something that Dr. Paul Kershaw from UBC and project Generation Squeeze have also been arguing.[xviii]
The federal and provincial governments need to tackle the root causes of the problem, and gather a large pool of new revenues to finance a major affordable housing program.
Canada needs to agree that housing is a basic Charter right. Canada has ratified the 1976 UN International Covenant on Economic, Social and Cultural Rights, which states that the parties to the covenant “recognize the right of everyone to an adequate standard of living for himself and his family, including adequate food, clothing and housing, and to the continuous improvement of living conditions,” but has not extended this recognition as a Canadian Charter right.
The new comprehensive strategy needs to make a clean break with the failed assumption that development is best left to the market, and adopt instead the principle, clearly enunciated by UBC’s Paul Kershaw and Generation Squeeze, that “Canada’s housing market should be regulated primarily to provide an efficient supply of affordable, suitable homes for community members and families to live in (renting or owning).”[xix]
The development of Canada’s National Housing Strategy is already underway, with an announcement due on November 22nd sharing what the government has heard from Canadians.[xx]
#2. Restrict Foreign Ownership
We need to restrict the foreign ownership of land, as Martyn Brown has argued so eloquently in The Tyee.[xxi] We could place an outright ban on the purchase of property by foreign non-residents, as Australia and Norway have done, or do it for six months to a year while we sort our policies out, as Bill Tieleman has argued.[xxii] The BC government’s 15% additional property transfer tax on foreign buyers in Metro-Vancouver is a welcome step in this direction.
Alternatively, we could restrict the right to buy property to Canadian residents of any nationality who live and pay taxes in Canada, as Tony Greenham has argued as a solution to the housing crisis in the UK. [xxiii]
#3. Close the Tax Havens
Globally, Canada needs to play a far more active leadership role in the work to close down the tax havens once and for all. The economist Gabriel Zucman, in his book The Hidden Wealth of Nations: The Scourge of Tax Havens, estimates that $7.6 trillion is being hidden in the havens, including 9% of Canada’s wealth, as a result of which Canada is losing $6 billion year in government revenue. The solution he proposes is a fully transparent international finance register, backed by punitive trade tariffs against countries that refuse to cooperate.[xxiv]
In the meantime, the federal government could require any company buying property in Canada to join a public register of beneficial ownership, showing who the actual owners are; it could impose severe punishments on professional accountants and others who enable Canadians to evade taxes; it could close all of the loopholes and dodgy practices that enable tax-evaders to buy and flip property in Canada; it could enable local municipalities to impose an annual tax surcharge on properties owned by offshore entities; and it could legislate the forced sale of all such properties, releasing them back onto the market.[xxv]
Rental Price Controls?
In BC, the law limits the annual rent increase for continuously occupied residential units to 2.9%, which may be one of the best rent controls in the world. This does not apply to rental turnovers, however, which affect 30% of Metro Vancouver’s 105,000 rental units, where prices are jumping by 10-20%.[xxvi]
Cities can legislate rent controls, as New York has done since 1938, and as Stockholm and Berlin are now doing to try stop rental price inflation, though their experience shows that unless the regulations are well enforced landlords will find a way to skirt the rules, and the controls can cause a thriving black market.[xxvii]
Adding to the muddle, developers of new rental properties need a financial incentive to build, so unduly restrictive rent controls may inhibit the very thing we need, which is more affordable rental units.
#4. Use Municipal Powers
Municipalities can use inclusionary zoning to require developers to make 30%, 50% or 100% of all new units of a development affordable and family-friendly, generating mixed-income communities.
They can zone for increased densification of single-family neighbourhoods to allow more townhouses.
They can allow car-free laneway housing and secondary suites, accompanied by good transit, safe bike-routes, and car-sharing.
They can make it easy for non-family members to buy a house together, owning it as ‘tenants in common’.
And depending on their legal powers, they can require that any new homes be marketed locally for at least six months before being offered to foreign buyers, as the Mayor of London, UK, Sadiq Khan, has proposed.
To help tackle homelessness, municipalities can also allow land left idle for more than a year to be used for temporary tiny homes villages for the homeless, learning from Dignity Village in Portland, Opportunity Village in Eugene, Oregon (see below), and Victoria’s MicroHousing Project.[xxviii]
#5. A Limited Ban on AirBNBs
Vancouver is proposing to license short-term AirBNB rentals within principal residences, but to deny licenses to AirBNBs that are in separate apartments or houses, potentially releasing up to 3,000 units of housing into the permanent rental pool. The ban could be linked to the rental vacancy rate, ending when it rises above 3.0.
How Much New Housing is Needed?
Following last year’s federal election, anti-poverty advocates and housing providers asked the government for $3.2 billion to renovate old units and to build 100,000 new units nationwide.[xxix] The federal government responded with a $2.3 billion short-term commitment over two years for a variety of affordable housing initiatives.
The cost of the failure to address homelessness is estimated at $7 billion a year, because as a society we are using law enforcement, courts and prisons, emergency healthcare, longer hospital stays and emergency shelters instead of taking a proactive Housing First approach, as cities like Medicine Hat, Alberta, have done.[xxx] This is the cost of allowing social entropy to blossom, instead of taking a pro-active syntropic approach.
Citizens for Public Justice says 3.2 million Canadians need improved housing, because they pay more than they can afford on rent, or live in homes that are overcrowded or need major repairs.[xxxi]
This includes Canada’s First Nations, for whom the Assembly of First Nations has estimated the on-reserve housing shortage to be approximately 85,000 units. Aboriginal Affairs and Northern Development Canada puts the number at 35,000 to 40,000 units.[xxxii]
Seabird Island Sustainable First Nations Housing, BC
In Metro-Vancouver, 145,000 households spend more than 30% of their income on housing. Marc Lee, chief economist with the Canadian Centre for Policy Alternatives, sees the need to build 5,000 to 10,000 new units a year in Metro Vancouver alone.[xxxiii] For BC as a whole there is probably need to build 10,000 to 20,000 units of new affordable housing a year.
Such a massive building program would generate up to 22,600 new jobs for builders and the trades in BC, assuming 1.13 jobs per apartment unit.[xxxiv] It would also create an opportunity for solutions to two other problems that need urgent attention – the climate crisis and the problem of loneliness. (See below.)
What Will It Cost?
10,000 to 20,000 units a year at $250,000 per unit comes to $2.5 to $5 billion a year, less if governments contribute land (as Vancouver is offering to do) and waive the development fees. This could finance an ambitious affordable housing building program, driven by non-profits. If the new revenue comes from targeted housing taxes (see below), this would also help to cool the market. If the development is done through housing cooperatives (see below), the cost could be considerably lower.
In the pot so far is the federal government’s $2.3 billion Affordable Housing Initiative over two years, which includes $500 million for affordable housing units and various other needs, $739 million for First Nations housing, $208 million over five years for an Affordable Rental Housing Innovation Fund to support the construction of up to 4,000 affordable rental units, and $500 million for an Affordable Rental Housing Financing Initiative to provide low-cost loans to municipalities and housing developers to construct affordable rental housing.[xxxv]
If the money is shared among the provinces by population, BC’s share comes to $150 million a year. In February the provincial government announced $365 million in matching funds to build 2,000 units, and in September it added $500 million to build a further 2,900 rental units. Taken together, the BC commitments come to $1 billion, providing the funds for 5,000 units, and 20-40% of the finance needed to build the 10,000 to 20,000 new affordable rental units that are needed every year to provide a permanent solution to the crisis.
Canada’s mayors are seeking $12.6 billion over ten years as part of the government’s $20 billion social infrastructure investment, including $7.7 billion to maintain and repair existing units and $4.2 billion to build 10,000 units of housing annually across the country. This comes to $1.26 billion a year for the whole of Canada, which will be insufficient to solve the problem.
To accumulate the funds needed, seven sources of new revenue are recommended—three municipal, two provincial and two federal (see below).
#6. Housing Cooperatives
If the new affordable housing was organized as housing cooperatives, backed by supportive policies, the finance might be able to come largely from the market. In Sweden, some 13,000 housing cooperatives own 998,000 dwellings, providing housing for 1.6 million people, 22% of the Sweden’s people. “The tenant-owners finance 75 – 80% of the development cost and the rest of the financing is raised by the co-op organizations through loans from the banks and other private financial institutions. Tenant-owners can normally get a loan from the banks equivalent to 85% of the down payment required.”[xxxvi] If zero-interest capital loans were advanced to cooperatives (see below), this would further reduce the cost.
Since 1976, the collaborative non-profit Batir Son Quartier in Montreal has developed 10,900 units of affordable housing, half of which are in cooperatives.[xxxvii]
Zurich, Switzerland, has no housing crisis, and it’s chiefly because long ago, the city responded to its then housing crisis by offering interest-free loans to buy land for the development of cooperative housing. Today, a quarter of the city’s housing is not-for-profit, 80% of which is provided by private housing co-operatives (see above).[xxxviii]
Affordable housing experience in Lewisham, London, UK, shows that it is important to include the future owners of an affordable housing initiative in co-designing the plans. “Involving residents directly in the process is also one way of making housing more affordable, and it does help to create a committed, localised and engaged community.”[xxxix]
#7. Zero-Interest Capital Loans
The money does not all need come from new sources of revenue, since housing produces rent, enabling the private sector to get involved. The federal government has committed $500 million to this end, and the provincial government, which can borrow at 1%, could use the federal money to offer zero-interest capital loans for developers who build 50% or 100% rental buildings, and for housing coops.[xl] The BC government lends at 1% for the property tax deferral program for seniors.
Affordable Housing Bonds, in use in Britain for 30 years, are also possible.[xli] So is the development of public banking, which has proven its ability to provide stable, successful banking in North Dakota for almost 100 years.[xlii]
#8. An Affordable Housing Tax Levy
A municipality can enact an affordable housing tax levy. Seattle has done this since 1981, enabling the city to build 12,500 affordable apartments, help 800 families to purchase their first home, and provide emergency rent assistance to 6,500 families. The levy increases property taxes by $122 a year on a home with an assessed value of $480,000, with an exemption for homeowners whose annual income is less than $40,000, and for those who are over 60, disabled and unable to work, or veterans with service-related disabilities.[xliii]
#9. A Municipal Levy on Properties Bought by Non-Residents
There could be an additional municipal levy on properties bought through offshore companies, and by non-residents or non-Canadian tax-payers, at least until purchase by non-residents is restricted or ended, as the UBC economist Joshua Gottleib has proposed. [xliv]
#10. A Municipal Levy on Empty Houses or Second Homes
Vancouver has 10,000 empty condos, while 1,750 people are homeless (3,700 in Metro Vancouver).[xlv] Victoria has a further 1400 homeless people. London (UK) has 50,000 empty properties, and 6,500 homeless. There’s something deeply wrong with this picture. Across Canada, up to 35,000 people live in shelters or on the streets.[xlvi]
According to Vancouver City Hall staff, if 20% of Vancouver’s empty homes were used for rentals, it would increase the rental vacancy rate from the current extremely low level of 0.6% to a healthy 3%.
Vancouver’s new annual 1% property value tax on empty properties, supported by 80% of Vancouver’s people, will cost the owner of an empty $1 million home $10,000 a year to keep empty.[xlvii]
Lovely view, but no-one at home to see it
#11. An Escalating Property Transfer Tax on High-End Properties
Provincially, there could be an escalating property transfer tax on high-end properties, which would also help cool the market. In February 2016 the BC government raised the tax to 3% for the portion above $2 million, and it could go higher.
As a result of the overheated property market, the BC government has been making an unexpected killing from the property transfer tax: $1.49 billion in the last fiscal year, a 40% increase over the year before, and $562 million more than the government budgeted for. Given the damage that housing price inflation is causing, it is appropriate that 80% of the increase be earmarked for affordable housing.
#12. A Housing Speculation Tax
There could be a 10% speculation tax on properties that are bought and flipped quickly. Other changes are needed to close various loopholes that are corrupting the real estate industry, enabling some people to avoid paying property transfer tax altogether.[xlviii]
#13. An Investment Tax on People Who Avoid Capital Gains Tax
There could be financial penalties on people who avoid capital gains tax by falsely claiming an investment home as their primary residence, with 100% of the revenue (less costs) going into the Affordable Housing Fund.
#14. A Federal Inheritance Tax
Finally, there could be an escalating federal inheritance tax on inheritances over $1 million, with 100% of the revenue being used to build affordable housing to offset the way inheritances contribute to the housing crisis. This would also address the deeper problem of inequality, which may be a root cause of the problem. Much more will be needed to reverse the inequality trend, including a $15 minimum wage, the end of student debt, affordable childcare, and major tax reforms, but it would be a beginning.
With a dependable stream of new revenue, governments could work together to finance the building of 10,000-20,000 units of new affordable housing in BC, in partnership with non-profits and agencies such as the Vancouver Affordable Housing Agency.
While the provincial and federal governments have been asleep on the housing file for three decades, the City of Vancouver has not. It established The Mayor’s Task Force on Housing Affordability in 2011, which came up with Vancouver’s Housing and Homelessness Strategy 2012-2021: A Home for Everyone. In 2014 it established the Vancouver Affordable Housing Agency,[xlix] which has committed 20 parcels of land for low-cost housing, and in May 2016 it announced the construction of 358 affordable housing units on four city sites. Victoria has also been very active in seeking solutions and enabling new rental developments.
#15. An Affordable Housing Land Reserve
Land being purchased for affordable housing could be placed in a newly created Affordable Housing Land Reserve, operating as a Community Land Trust, through which the land would be taken off the market forever, but the homes could still be bought and sold for residential purposes. This would guarantee future affordability for generations to come, while allowing families to own the homes they live in and to leave them to their children in their wills.[l] This is the way Vancouver is proceeding, working in partnership with the Vancouver Community Land Trust Foundation.[li]
BC established a Housing Priority Initiatives Fund in July 2016, so the foundation is in place; it just needs to receive a lot more money, and then to focus its expenditures on land purchases to be placed in Community Land Trusts, to support the development of new housing cooperatives.
#16. Housing First
The new stream of revenue could enable every municipality in Canada to adopt the ‘Housing First’ approach to homelessness, giving priority to ensuring that everyone has a home to live in before focusing on mental illness,, drug and alcohol addictions. Since starting on its strategy in 2009, Medicine Hat, Alberta, a city of 60,000, has eliminated 100% of its homelessness, providing secure homes in supportive or subsidized housing for 875 people, including 280 children.[lii] The Canadian Alliance to End Homelessness’s 20,000 Homes Campaign is leading the charge to implement Housing First across the country, calling for 20,000 new homes to be created for the homeless by July 2018.[liii]
#17. Creativity in Providing Affordable Housing
The argument for enabling non-profit housing societies to manage the building program is that they have a better understanding of the variety of housing options that are needed, they operate without a profit expectation, and they enjoy the public’s trust.
In addition to traditional building, new approaches include rent-to-own, temporary pre-fabricated modular homes, shipping container homes, and the Montreal ‘Grow-Home’ three-story townhouse, where first-time buyers start with a simple small unit, designed for expansion as a family and its income grows (see below).[liv]
In Holland, the government has been encouraging self-building, by which new homes, often in large-scale developments, are financed and customized by private individuals, not developers, some with help from government stimulus schemes for families earning less than $29,000 a year (see below). Self-build now accounts for a third of all homes purchased, by-passing the financial cut that developers expect to make.[lv]
Another model is the Whistler Housing Authority, established in 1997 to address the chronic shortage of staff housing in the resort. Through their work, more than 1,000 properties are available only to local employees and retirees. If you want to buy one of the units, and wish to sell, the price increase is limited to the rise in Canada’s national price index, not the local property market, enabling Whistler to keeps its units affordable in perpetuity.[lvi] Vancouver’s new Affordable Home Ownership Pilot Program works on similar principles, with at least one person needing to be a first-time buyer who works in the city.[lvii]
#18. Student Housing
For student housing, for which there is an urgent need for 20,000 new units in BC, the universities have said that they are ready and willing to self-finance their own projects. All that is needed is a provincial arrangement that the debt would not fall within the government’s total capital debt, which affects the province’s credit rating. At an estimated $100,000 per unit, this would the most cost-effective way to relieve the rental pressure in Victoria, Vancouver and Burnaby.
#19. Passive Homes
To tackle the climate crisis we need—among other things—to eliminate the use of fossil fuels, in part by using 100% renewable energy in new buildings. Passive Houses reduce heat-loss by 90%, thanks to their extra-thick insulated walls and triple-glazed windows, and they need no heat-source apart from a small electric heat-recovery ventilator. They are zero-emission homes.[lviii]
Based on experience in Victoria, where Rob and Mark Bernhardt are building Passive Homes, they cost only 4.4% more (see below).[lix] With no heating bill, the small extra cost can be easily absorbed into the financing. In Brussels, Belgium, since 2015, every new building, large or small, has been required to be built to the Passive House standard.[lx] If BC was to build 10,000 to 20,000 sustainable, affordable Passive Homes a year, it would catapult us into world leadership, and create a wave of similar change around the world.
#20. Sociable Homes
It is also important to design the layout of new homes to make them sociable, to address the growing problem of loneliness. The human instinct to connect is very strong, and when allowed to blossom it builds communities where people take care of each other. When suppressed, however, due to thoughtless design, people become isolated, leading to loneliness, which accentuates stress and mental illness.
For 99.99% of the last million years our ancestors lived together in communities, doing everything on foot. It was only 70 years ago, in the 1940s, that planners declared automobile access to be more important than human contact, restricting humans to sidewalks, and giving approval to suburbs that often have no sidewalks at all and no places where neighbors can meet and socialize.
It is important, therefore, that as well as being built to the Passive House standard, and including green space, allotment gardens and play space, every new affordable housing project be designed to be sociable, using a participatory design process and shared leadership, with natural meeting places, and car access off to one side, like the much sought-after UBC student family housing at Acadia Park,[lxi] and the pocket neighborhoods that architect Ross Chapin has designed on Whidbey Island (see below).[lxii] When local considerations require that there must be car-access among the buildings, and not off to one side, the road can be based on the Dutch principle of woonerf or ‘living street’, where humans have priority and cars no longer have the automatic right of way.
#21. New Villages
A growing number of people want more than to live in an affordable home. They want to live in an ecologically sustainable community where they can share, grow food, and develop projects together.
They also want to enjoy a stronger sense of community. They want to build a sharing economy, with a lighter footprint on the Earth. They want to build their own ecovillages and tiny home villages.
Tiny home village living in converted whisky-barrels. Findhorn Ecovillage, Scotland
To turn these desires into reality requires a willingness to train people in the skills of land development, financing and zoning. In Canada’s early history, many people went out and built their own towns and villages without much difficulty. These days, however, the complexity of land development, finance, investors, planning, zoning, development permit applications and water, sewage and roads approval means that almost all development is done by developers, working by professional planners, surveyors and engineers.
The history of cohousing, however, with ten completed projects in in BC, shows that land development can be managed democratically by the residents themselves, using professional help where needed.[lxiii] It is possible to imagine a platform being created that would assist people to create their own tiny home villages and ecovillages.
We should use a small portion of the affordable housing funds to train people how to become their own developers, forming Ecovillage Development Cooperatives, raising the finance, and navigating the complex world of zoning and development approval.
Belterra Cohousing, Bowen Island
In these ways, we could turn today’s housing crisis into a great opportunity to build affordable homes that also build community and are a solution to the climate crisis.
Could all this happen? It could become a reality if enough people are willing to get behind it, and make it one of the top BC election issues in May 2017, alongside tackling the climate crisis and building a new green economy.
It could happen if enough municipal councils, non-profits, businesses and service clubs get behind it, writing letters demanding solutions such as these.
#22. A Canadian Affordable Housing Alliance
It could also happen if a broadly-based Affordable Housing Alliance were to be established, as a vehicle through which not just the leading NGOs but also the millions of Canadians who are struggling to buy a home or pay the rent were able to organize, the way struggling agricultural workers did when they formed the first labour unions in the early 1800s.
It was only after Victoria’s Super InTent City made so many headlines, ruffled so many feathers and won its court cases in the summer of 2016, assisted by Victoria’s Together Against Poverty Society and many others, that the city and the province came together to find $86 million to finance 714 new housing units for homeless people. Some people complained that the Super InTent City leadership was activist, but that is exactly what’s needed, not just in Victoria but every community.[lxiv]
One thing is certain: without deep, intentional solutions this crisis will only get worse. More millennials will be shut out of home ownership, more people will experience the stress of unaffordability in the rental market, more people will be obliged to couch-surf or to remain living with their parents, more people will live in vans and trucks, more people will become homeless, and more angry Tent Cities will spring up—and not all will be as well organized as Victoria’s was.
Guy Dauncey is the author of Journey to the Future: A Better World is Possible, and nine other books. He is an Honorary Member of the Planning Institute of BC and a Fellow of the Royal Society for the Arts. See www.journeytothefuture.ca
[i] Will housing bubble pop in 2017? ABC News May 22, 2015. www.news.com.au/finance/real-estate/buying/will-housing-bubble-pop-in-2017/news-story/4fe05fed1c277a096df33242a26caf6c
[ii] Damning report exposes Europe’s escalating housing crisis. Guardian, Nov 19, 2015. www.theguardian.com/world/2015/nov/19/damning-report-exposes-europes-escalating-housing-crisis
[iii] Thomas Piketty’s Capital: everything you need to know about the surprise best-seller. Guardian, April 28, 2014. www.theguardian.com/books/2014/apr/28/thomas-piketty-capital-surprise-bestseller
[iv] 3538 West 29th Ave, Vancouver: www.rew.ca/properties/R2072511/3538-w-29th-avenue-vancouver
[v] Code Red: Rethinking Canadian Housing Policy. Dr. Paul Kershaw and Anita Minh. Generation Squeeze, Spring 2016. www.gensqueeze.ca/code_red_rethinking_canadian_housing_policy
[vi] Mayor Gregor Robertson warns that unsustainable increases in housing prices threaten Vancouver economy. Georgia Strait, June 5, 2015. www.straight.com/news/711671/mayor-gregor-robertson-warns-unsustainable-increases-housing-prices-threaten-vancouver
[vii] It’s Not Just You: Vancouver Housing Up 172%, Income Just 10%. Better Dwelling, June 30, 2016. https://betterdwelling.com/city/vancouver/its-not-just-you-vancouver-housing-up-172-income-just-10/
[viii] Affordable housing crisis forcing some Okanagan families onto the streets. CBC News, June 8, 2016. www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/affordable-housing-crisis-forcing-some-okanagan-families-onto-the-streets-1.3621221
[ix] Affordable housing crisis affects one in five renters in Canada: study. Globe & Mail, Sept 10, 2015. www.theglobeandmail.com/real-estate/the-market/affordable-housing-crisis-affects-one-in-five-renters-in-canada-study/article26287843/
‘I Go to Bed in Tears’: Lower Mainland Renter Rage. Dermot Travis, The Tyee, June 16, 2016. http://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2016/06/17/Lower-Mainland-Renters-Rage/
[x] Young families priced out of rental markets in two-thirds of the UK. Guardian, March 14, 2016. www.theguardian.com/world/2016/mar/14/young-families-priced-out-rental-markets-in-two-thirds-uk
[xi] Mapping the Hourly Wage Needed to Rent a 2-Bedroom Apartment in Every U.S. State. CityLab, May 25, 2015. www.citylab.com/housing/2015/05/mapping-the-hourly-wage-needed-to-rent-a-2-bedroom-apartment-in-every-us-state/394142/
[xii] Baby Boomers To Inherit $750 Billion In Largest-Ever Canadian Transfer Of Wealth. Huffington Post, June6, 2016. www.huffingtonpost.ca/2016/06/06/cibc-canada-in-line-for-a-bequest-boom-as-750-billion-of-assets-passed-on_n_10318872.html
Vancouver condo marketer Bob Rennie doubts city’s affordability plan. Globe & Mail, June 2, 2016. www.theglobeandmail.com/news/british-columbia/vancouver-condo-marketer-bob-rennie-doubts-citys-affordability-plan/article30256305/
[xiii] China has more than 1 million millionaires. CNN Money, May 25, 2015. http://money.cnn.com/2015/05/27/luxury/china-million-millionaires/
[xiv] Ian Young on Vancouver’s ‘freakshow’ housing market. MacLean’s, May 10, 2016. www.macleans.ca/economy/economicanalysis/ian-young-on-vancouvers-freak-show-housing-market
[xv] ‘China Syndrome’ Paralyzes Politicians in Housing Affordability Crisis. Bill Tieleman, The Tyee, June 21, 2016. http://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2016/06/21/China-Syndrome-Housing-Paralyzes-Politicians/
[xvi] Panama Papers database includes hundreds of Metro Vancouver addresses linked to offshore accounts. Georgia Strait, May 9, 2016. www.straight.com/news/694676/panama-papers-database-includes-hundreds-metro-vancouver-addresses-linked-offshore
Panama Papers: Vancouver is Canada’s hotspot for secret tax haven firms, with hundreds of addresses in leaked papers. South china Morning Post, May 25, 2016. www.scmp.com/news/world/united-states-canada/article/1953614/panama-papers-vancouver-canadas-hotspot-secret-tax
[xvii] AirBNB wreaks havoc on Vancouver rental scene. Vancouver Courier, March 9, 2016. www.vancourier.com/opinion/airbnb-wreaks-havoc-on-vancouver-rental-scene-1.2194418
[xxi] Martyn Brown: An essay on B.C.’s housing crisis and what to do about it. Georgia Strait, May 19, 2016. www.straight.com/news/702206/martyn-brown-essay-bcs-housing-crisis-and-what-do-about-it
[xxii] My fix for the housing crisis: ban ownership by foreign non-residents. Zoe Williams. Guardian, May 22, 2015. www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2015/jun/22/housing-crisis-ban-ownership-foreign-non-residents
Stop rich overseas investors from buying up UK homes, report urges. Guardian, Feb 1, 2014. https://www.theguardian.com/business/2014/feb/01/rich-overseas-investors-uk-eu-housing-market
Serious About Housing Costs? Ban Foreign Home Sales for Six Months. Bill Tieleman, The Tyee, June 14, 2016. http://thetyee.ca/Opinion/2016/06/14/Vancouver-Foreign-Ownership-Sales-Ban/
[xxiii] Why only UK Taxpayers should own UK homes. Tony Greenham, RSA. April 7, 2016. www.thersa.org/discover/publications-and-articles/rsa-blogs/2016/04/no-domicile-no-domus-why-only-uk-taxpayers-should-own-uk-homes
[xxiv] The Hidden Wealth of Nations: The Scourge of Tax Havens, by Gabriel Zucman. Chicago University Press, 2015. www.amazon.ca/Hidden-Wealth-Nations-Scourge-Havens/dp/022624542X
[xxv] Out of the shadows: Kathy Tomlinson reveals how loopholes and lax oversight are making it easy for a network of local and foreign speculators to play the system, and, in the process, fuel the steep rise in Vancouver home prices. Globe & Mail, Sept 13, 2016. www.theglobeandmail.com/real-estate/vancouver/out-of-the-shadows/article31802994/
[xxvi] Barbara Yaffe: Vancouver rent increase ‘tsunami’ expected. Vancouver Sun, July 26, 2015. www.vancouversun.com/business/Barbara+Yaffe+Vancouver+rent+increase+tsunami+expected/11246784/story.html
[xxvii] Berlin’s New Rent-Control Law Probably Isn’t Working After All. CityLab, Feb 1, 2016. www.citylab.com/housing/2016/02/berlin-rent-control-cbre-report/458700/
New York’s rent controls: ‘essential for the future of the city‘. Guardian, Aug 19, 2015. www.theguardian.com/us-news/2015/aug/19/new-york-rent-controlled-homes
Pitfalls of rent restraints: why Stockholm’s model has failed many. Guardian, Aug 19, 2015. www.theguardian.com/world/2015/aug/19/why-stockholm-housing-rules-rent-control-flat
Would a rent cap work for tenants facing £1,000-a-month rises? Guardian, May 2, 2016. www.theguardian.com/money/2016/may/02/would-rent-cap-work-tenants-1000-a-month-rises
Victoria MicroHousing: www.microhousingvictoria.com
[xxix] Canada’s Housing Sector Calls for 100,000 New Affordable Homes. CHRA, Feb 4, 2016. http://chra-achru.ca/news/canadas-housing-sector-calls-for-100000-new-affordable-homes
[xxx] Cost of Homelessness in Canada. Lookout Society, http://lookoutsociety.ca/understanding-homelessness/cost-of-homelessness/the-real-cost-of-homelessness-in-canada
[xxxii] Housing on First Nations Reserves: Challenges and Successes. Interim Report of the Standing Senate Committee on Aboriginal Peoples, 2015. www.parl.gc.ca/Content/SEN/Committee/412/appa/rep/rep08feb15b-e.pdf
[xxxiii] Getting Serious About Affordable Housing: Towards A Plan For Metro Vancouver. Marc Lee, May 2016. CCPA. www.policyalternatives.ca/sites/default/files/uploads/publications/BC%20Office/2016/05/CCPA-BC-Affordable-Housing.pdf
[xxxiv] Jobs Created in the U.S. When a Home is Built. NAHB, May 2, 2014. http://eyeonhousing.org/2014/05/jobs-created-in-the-u-s-when-a-home-is-built
[xxxv] 2016 Budget Initiatives for Housing and Real Estate: www.rebgv.org/2016-federal-budget-initiatives-housing-and-real-estate
[xxxviii] How housing co-operatives built a city. Ludwig Franzen, Medium, Oct 7, 2016. https://medium.com/@ludvigfranzn/how-housing-co-operatives-built-a-city-311d2f0c6597#.2ro16j1yq
[xxxix] Community scheme offers blueprint for way out of London’s housing crisis. Positive News, June 28, 2016. www.positive.news/2016/society/21625/community-scheme-offers-blueprint-way-londons-housing-crisis
[xl] The Affordable-Housing Crisis Moves Inland. Bloomberg, April 15, 2016. www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2016-04-15/the-affordable-housing-crisis-moves-inland
[xli] Alternative Sources of Capital for the Social/Affordable Housing Sector in Canada. Housing Services Corporation, April 2015. http://share.hscorp.ca/wp-content/uploads/2015/06/Alternative-Sources-of-Capital_Final-for-April-23-FINAL-REPORT-April-17-2015.pdf
[xlii] WSJ Reports: BND Outperforms Wall Street. Public Banking Institute, Nov 20, 2014. www.publicbankinginstitute.org/bnd_outperforms_wall_street
[xliii] Murray proposes to expand levy to support affordable housing. Office of the Mayor, Seattle. http://murray.seattle.gov/murray-proposes-to-expand-levy-to-support-affordable-housing/
Nine Reasons To Support A Housing Levy In A Hot Housing Market. Seattle shows: it works, it’s fair, and we need it more than ever before. Sightline, March 21, 2016. www.sightline.org/2016/03/21/nine-reasons-to-support-a-housing-levy-in-a-hot-housing-market/
[xliv] A better way to tax vacant Vancouver homes. Joshua Gottleib, Globe & Mail, July 25, 2016. www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/a-better-way-to-tax-vacant-vancouver-homes/article31091843
[xlv] 10,800 homes remain empty in Vancouver: City Hall. Vancity Buzz, March 8, 2016. www.vancitybuzz.com/2016/03/vancouver-empty-homes-report
[xlvi] UBC economists propose fund to combat housing unaffordability in B.C. UBC News, Jan 18, 2016. http://news.ubc.ca/2016/01/18/ubc-economists-propose-fund-to-combat-housing-unaffordability-in-b-c
[xlvii] City of Vancouver approves empty homes tax. CBC, Nov 16, 2016. www.cbc.ca/news/canada/british-columbia/city-of-vancouver-approves-empty-homes-tax-1.3853542
[xlviii] Real estate loophole lets wealthy buyers save millions in taxes. CTV News, April 16, 2016. http://bc.ctvnews.ca/real-estate-loophole-lets-wealthy-buyers-save-millions-in-taxes-1.2874603
[xlix] Vancouver’s Housing and Homelessness Strategy 2012-2021: A Home for Everyone http://vancouver.ca/files/cov/Housing-and-Homeless-Strategy-2012-2021pdf.pdf
Vancouver Affordable Housing Agency. http://vancouver.ca/your-government/vancouver-affordable-housing-agency.aspx
[li] Vancouver Land Trust partnership to create 358 units of affordable housing on City-owned sites. Mayor’s Office, May 25, 2016. http://mayorofvancouver.ca/news/vancouver-land-trust-partnership-create-358-units-affordable-housing-city-owned-sites
On Land Trusts, see also: Housing without debt: Our flawed housing economy, and what we can do about it. Alastair Parvin, Medium, Feb 16, 2016. https://medium.com/@AlastairParvin/housing-without-debt-5ae430b5606a#.wuxchifeb
[lii] In 2015, Medicine Hat will become Canada’s first community to end homelessness. Homeless Hub, May 15, 2015. www.homelesshub.ca/blog/2015-medicine-hat-will-become-canadas-first-community-end-homelessness
Canada Could End Homelessness. And It’ll Only Cost You $46 A Year. Huffington Post, Aug 13, 2015. www.huffingtonpost.ca/2015/08/13/housing-first-federal-election_n_7949510.html
[liv] Designing Flexible Housing. CMHC. www.cmhc-schl.gc.ca/en/inpr/afhoce/afhoce/afhostcast/afhoid/cohode/deflho/deflho_005.cfm
[lv] Inside Almere: the Dutch city that’s pioneering alternative housing. The Guardian, Dec 15, 2015. www.theguardian.com/housing-network/2015/dec/15/almere-dutch-city-alternative-housing-custom-build
What Canada could learn from a Dutch self-build housing movement. MacLean’s, Aug 10, 2016. www.macleans.ca/news/world/canada-learn-netherlands-self-build-movement/
[lvi] Is One of These the Answer to Vancouver’s Affordable Housing Woes? David Ball, The Tyee, March 28, 2016. http://thetyee.ca/News/2016/03/28/Answers-Vancouver-Affordable-Housing-Woes/
[lvii] Mayor, Council Give Green Light to Pursue Affordable Home Ownership Pilot. Mayor’s Office, April 20, 2016. http://mayorofvancouver.ca/news/mayor-council-give-green-light-pursue-affordable-home-ownership-pilot
[lviii] City of Vancouver advances toward goal of spurring development of zero-emission green buildings. Georgia Strait, Dec 9, 2015. www.straight.com/news/593461/city-vancouver-advances-toward-goal-spurring-development-zero-emission-green-buildings
[lix] House Beautiful: Passive House cuts heating, cooling energy by 90 per cent. Times Colonist, Feb 27, 2016. www.timescolonist.com/life/house-beautiful-passive-house-cuts-heating-cooling-energy-by-90-per-cent-1.2184696
Bernhardt Contracting: http://bernhardtcontracting.com/passive-house/
[lx] If it’s Tuesday, this must be a Belgian Passive House tour. Treehugger, March 23, 2015. www.treehugger.com/green-architecture/if-its-tuesday-must-be-belgian-passive-house-tour.html
[lxi] UBC Student Family Housing http://vancouver.housing.ubc.ca/residences/acadia-park/
[lxiv] Advocacy, leadership, courage: What we learned from Super InTent City. Maytree, Sept 15, 2016. http://maytree.com/blog/2016/09/advocacy-leadership-courage-what-we-learned-from-super-intent-city/